The Bucs are talented yet just once have they scored more than 21 points in a game.
That is simply shameful.
So what the hell is going on? Follicly-challenged Billy Barnwell of BSPN decided to take a deep statistical dive to find out.
Three areas where the offense is hurting, per Barnwell. That would be the offensive line — not pass blocking, but run blocking — virtually no production from the tight end position and the running game.
Oh, and Barnwell thinks the Bucs need to upgrade their No. 3 receiver spot.
The critical element, Barnwell found, is moving the chains.
They have gone from being the league’s third-least likely team to produce a three-and-out between 2020 and 2021 to its eighth-most likely team.
The Bucs, Barnwell noted, are not seeing a lot of defensive men in the box against the run because teams aren’t scared of the Bucs running attack. And still the Bucs cannot move the ball on the ground.
This is nothing new. They are averaging just 3.1 yards per carry, the worst mark in the league by three-tenths of a yard. Unsurprisingly, the NFL Next Gen Stats rushing model pins most of this on the line; we would expect Bucs backs to generate only 3.8 yards per carry given their blocking, which is the third-fewest expected rushing yards per play. Tampa’s backs are still generating minus-0.5 rush yards over expectation per play, which is the fifth-worst mark in the league.
Yeah, Ryan Jensen coming back would help a lot. An upgrade from Gage would be great, too. Barnwell said. However, Barnwell believes he has the critical answer to the question, ‘how can the Bucs improve their third down offense, red zone offense and run blocking?’
Do whatever is necessary to get foot-rubbing Rob Gronkowski back.
This content was originally published here.