Why the Vikings can cover the spread
Any 7-1 team catching three points has value. Bills safety Jordan Poyer and DE Greg Rousseau are out, making life a little easier for Kirk Cousins and his 8th rated offense (24.1 PPG).
They will need RB Dalvin Cook to maintain his nearly 5-yards per rush clip against one of the toughest defenses he has faced. And for whatever reason, the Vikes have been a great Week 10 bet, covering 6 in a row.
Why the Bills can cover the spread
Buffalo is deep and have enough playmakers on offense to allow Keenum to succeed here. If he can’t throw the ball to them, Stefon Diggs and others will simply do sweeps and run the ball.
They remain the Super Bowl favorites and hey, Allen still might play, in which case you should hop on -3 before it balloons back up to -7 or higher. And the Vikings usually lose when they are underdogs (3-9 SU past 12 games in this spot).
Vikings Bills Pick
We sit in the camp that says the Vikings are not as good as their 7-1 record indicates. If you are phony, real contenders will expose you. That’s what happens today, we wouldn’t be surprised if this game is a Buffalo romp.
Buffalo Minnesota Prop Picks
Coming soon as odds posted at FanDuel
Minnesota Buffalo Betting Trends
Game opened -9.5, moved to -3.5 with Allen injury status
UNDER is 13-2 Buffalo’s last 15 games vs NFC North division.
UNDER is 9-2 past 11 Bills games when favored
Vikings have won 6 straight and are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games played in Week 10.
Vikings are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games as the underdog.
Bills have won 7 straight at home, 19-4 SU past 23 at home
Bills are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games
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