As we head into Week 11 of the NFL season, we have several divisions that are incredibly tight and home to some fantastic races. One of those is the AFC East, where all 4 teams are still very much in the playoff conversation. Perhaps the biggest surprise in that division right now is that the Buffalo Bills are down in 3rd, although you could argue that the Jets sitting on 6 wins through their opening 9 games could also be high on the surprise scale. The divisional games in the East are going to be crucial as we head down the stretch, but this one is especially so for the Patriots, as they are currently down in the cellar, albeit well within reach of the top spot. They need a win here, though, or their race to win the division may become futile. The Patriots have home field advantage for this one and the bookies have them in as a 3-point favorite, with the point total set at 38. It’s time to have a closer look at the upcoming match between Jets and Patriots, so you can bet against their NFL Betting Lines.
NFL Week 11 Betting Preview: New York Jets at New England Analysis
Jets vs Patriots Match Info
Why bet on the New York Jets
If there was any doubt about the Jets very much being a divisional contender this season, I think that went out the window with a 20-17 win over the Buffalo Bills in their last outing. The only real disappointment is that the win was followed with a bye week, which may serve to kill that momentum. Still, the Jets come into this one with revenge in mind, as they lost 22-17 to the Patriots at home just a few short weeks ago. It’s not just that loss for the Jets, though, as that defeat means that they are now on a 13-game losing skid at the hands of New England. It’s not all doom and gloom here, at least not form a betting perspective, as the Jets have been a fantastic pick against the spread, covering in 6 of their last 7 games away from home. The Jets have seen the UNDER hit in 4 of their last 5 overall.
Why bet on the New England Patriots
It may be too early to deem this as a must win game for the Patriots, as they would still be at .500 and in the playoff mix even if they lost to the Jets. You certainly have to like their chances given that they have won 11 in a row versus the Jets in Foxboro, but this is a very different Jets team this season, so perhaps that particular stat should not be a huge factor. The Patriots have been a little inconsistent this season, but with back-to-back wins ahead of this one, there may be some signs that they are coming to life and about to go on a run. Week 11 has been kind to them, as they have gone 6-1 SU in the last 7. They have been a good ATS bet, too, covering in 5 of their last 6 overall. At home, the Patriots have seen 8 of their last 10 go OVER the point total.
Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction
I am more than a little tempted to play the Jets straight up here, but their record against the Patriots makes me more than a little nervous. I am going to hedge my bets and take them to cover, whilst also going with the OVER.
NFL Betting Pick: New York Jets 24 New England Patriots 26
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