The New York Jets 2022-23 season was almost over before it even started. In the first preseason game, quarterback Zach Wilson suffered a bone bruise and meniscus tear in his right knee that will sideline him two to four weeks. This ultimately puts his start to the season in question with the Jets season opener against the Baltimore Ravens on September 11 less than four weeks away.
Shockingly, this wasn’t even the worst injury news of preseason for the Jets. Last week it was announced that starting left tackle Mekhi Becton will most likely miss the entirety of the season after he sustained a second injury to his already surgically repaired right knee. This will leave a literal and figurative whole on the left side of the Jets offensive line with the 6-foot-7 Becton.
Down their best tackle and potentially without Wilson for the first game or two of the season, can the Jets overcome adversity and make some noise in 2022? Lets breakdown their win total for this regular season with odds powered by Tipico Sportsbook.
2021-22 season: Competitive at times but not good enough
With Wilson, the second overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, starting from the first game last season, there was clearly going to be some ups and downs that come with a rookie signal caller. After a two touchdown performance in a 19-14 loss to the Carolina Panthers in his opening act, the 23-year-old threw four interceptions in a 25-6 loss against the New England Patriots. He only had a 4:9 touchdown-to-interception ratio through the first six starts of his career.
While the Jets did win only four games for the second time in three seasons, the team did show some fight at times throughout the year. Their best performance was against the Cincinnati Bengals on Halloween last year. In week 8, the then 1-5 Jets beat the future AFC Champion Bengals 34-31 at MetLife Stadium. Backup quarterback Mike White had the game of his career as he had career-high 405 passing yards and three touchdowns. The Jets erased a 17-7 second quarter deficit as they earned their second win of the season.
Despite blowout losses throughout the year, New York was able to keep it close in a couple matchups down the stretch. The team had one score games against the Miami Dolphins (31-24 loss) and had a 24-10 lead against Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers before they ultimately lost 28-24 on January 2.
First half = Tough start
Unlike the Giants, the schedule makers did the Jets no favors to start 2022. New York faces off against some of the best quarterbacks in the entire NFL. In the first two months of the season, Gang Green will go up against the likes of Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, Aaron Rodgers, Russell Wilson and Josh Allen before their bye week in early November. Not ideal with a potentially less than 100% Wilson and without Becton.
Where the Jets do get a break is in the second half. While they play five of their final eight games on the road including against the Patriots, Minnesota Vikings and Buffalo Bills, New York’s three home games following the bye week are against the Chicago Bears, Detroit Lions and Jacksonville Jaguars. Those three teams combined to go 13-37-1 in 2021 and are a big reason why the Jets are in the middle of the pack when it comes to their opponents winning percentage this season (.495).
Verdict: Under 5.5 total wins (+135)
There’s no doubt the Jets have a promising future with young talent on both sides of the ball. New York drafted three players in the 2022 first round that could have a huge impact in cornerback Ahmad “Sauce” Gardner, wide receiver Garrett Wilson and pass rusher Jermaine Johnson. However, I believe the Jets have too much going for them in the wrong direction before the regular season even begins. Pair that with the brutal stretch to start the season, six wins is out of the question for me right now.
The win total for the Jets is juiced to the over as the popular opinion right now is New York will win six games for the first time since 2019 at -170 (Bet $170 to win $100) on Tipico Sportsbook. If you believe in the Jets to make the playoffs for the first time in 12 years, they’re at a great value at +650 (Bet $100 to win $650) on Tipico Sportsbook.
If you believe New York will miss the playoffs and are looking for some value on Tipico Sportsbook, I’d place a bet on Gang Green to finish third place in the AFC East at +300.
After finishing last place in the division for five of the last six seasons, I believe that trend will continue for at least one more year as the Jets struggle against quality opponents with no Becton and an already injured Wilson to start the year.
PREDICTION: Jets finish 5-12, fourth in the AFC East
Check out Tipico Sportsbook for all the latest up-to-date betting odds and lines for the 2022 NFL regular season.
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