NY Jets at Denver Broncos odds, picks & predictions: Our betting preview for Week 7

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The New York Jets (4-2, 2nd in AFC East) travel out West as they battle against the Denver Broncos (2-4, 3rd in AFC West) at Empower Field at Mile High in Week 7 on Sunday afternoon.

Last week the Jets stunned the Green Bay Packers as they dominated them 27-10 at Lambeau Field. New York won outright at +270 and as +7.5 point underdogs on Tipico Sportsbook. Rookie RB Breece Hall led the way again as he had a career-high 116 rushing yards and scored in his third consecutive game. It was the Jets third win in a row, something they have not done since Week 10-12 of November 2019. With their four wins in six weeks, New York has already tied its win total from last season.

After starting 2-1, the Broncos are on a three-game losing streak as they lost 19-16 against the Los Angeles Chargers in Los Angeles in Week 6. It was the second straight week that Denver lost in overtime.

Can the Jets make it four in a row or will the Broncos bounce back at home? Here are the odds and my picks and predictions for this AFC showdown with odds powered by Tipico Sportsbook.

Spread: Jets +1.5 (-112)

While they’ve won three straight, the Jets have covered the spread in each of their last three wins. New York is one of the best teams against the spread (ATS) as it’s 4-2 through six weeks. The Jets are now 4-1 ATS in their last five overall and have covered in five of their last six games on the road. However, New York is only 6-14 against the spread vs a team with a losing record and are 1-3-1 ATS in its last five games that have taken place during Week 7.

Not surprisingly, the Broncos have been brutal covering games in 2022. Denver is 3-7 against the spread in its last 10 overall, 3-11 ATS in its last 14 versus AFC opponents and have failed to cover the spread in seven of its last nine games in the month of October. The Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last five matchups following an against the spread win. Denver’s only positive trend is its 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games after scoring less than 15 points in its previous game.

Head-to-head, the Broncos have owned this matchup as they’ve covered the spread in five of the last six meetings and four of the previous five games in Denver.

Similar to the Giants being underdogs on the spread against the Jaguars in Jacksonville, I don’t see how you can bet against the Jets here as a small underdog.

Take the points with New York at +1.5 here on Tipico Sportsbook.

Over/Under: Under 38.5 points (-108)

Even with the NFL being more of a passing league than ever, totals have gone under at such a high rate as they’re 56-36 or hitting at nearly 61 percent (60.9 percent) in 2022. New York is 3-3 to the total as three games have gone under and over through six weeks. The under is 4-1 in the Jets’ last five games following an ATS win and has cashed in eight of nine matchups following a straight up win of more than 14 points. In New York’s last 16 games when they allowed less than 15 points in the previous game, the under is 11-5 in those outcomes. However, the Jets are 21-9 to the over in their last 30 games when playing a team with a losing record.

Denver’s trends are much better to the under as the total’s gone under in five of six games this year, 4-1 in its last five home games, and eight of its last nine following an against the spread win. The under is 7-3 in both the Broncos’ last 10 games following a straight up loss and an ATS loss.

In this matchup, the under has hit in four of the last five meetings with the last two matchups in Denver not reaching more than 26 points in either contest.

These are two of the better defenses in the entire NFL while both have mediocre offenses so far this season. Take the under here as I believe we see a very low scoring game in Mile High.

Moneyline: Jets (-101)

The Jets are one of two teams who are undefeated on the road (Eagles) as they’ve won in Cleveland, Pittsburgh and last week in Green Bay. But yet, just like the G-Men, the Jets are not getting any respect from the oddsmakers as they’re underdogs for the seventh straight week. Meanwhile, the Broncos are slight favorites to win despite their poor play from starting QB Russell Wilson at -117 on Tipico Sportsbook. New York has shown and proved its worth this season by beating back-to-back MVP winner Aaron Rodgers on the road and picking up wins against the Dolphins and Steelers in the two weeks prior.

On the other side, the Broncos have been uninspiring on offense with Wilson under center as they’re averaging a woeful 15.2 points per game, worst in the NFL. Denver has scored more than 16 points just one time this season which was Week 3 against the Las Vegas Raiders in a 32-23 loss.

The key factor will be can the Jets’ pass rush get to the Broncos’ star QB? While New York ranks middle of the pack this season with 14 sacks as a team (tied for 13th most), Wilson has already been sacked 20 times this year, sixth most in the NFL.

To me, the Jets deserve more respect here as I believe they should be the favorite in this matchup against an underachieving Denver offense.

I think this will be a close, low scoring game with New York pulling out its fourth straight win and moving to three games over .500 on the year.

Place a bet on the Jets’ as a small underdog on the moneyline (-101), to cover the +1.5 spread (-112) and the under 38.5 total points scored at -108 on Tipico Sportsbook.

PREDICTION: JETS 20, BRONCOS 13

Check out Tipico Sportsbook for all the latest up-to-date betting odds and lines for Week 7 in the NFL.

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