Jets vs. Jaguars odds, line, spread, Thursday Night Football picks, NFL predictions, bets from dialed-in model – CBSSports.com

It’s a matchup of two teams fighting for spots in the NFL playoff picture on Thursday Night Football in Week 16 as the New York Jets host the Jacksonville Jaguars at MetLife Stadium. The Jaguars (6-8) upset the Cowboys 40-34 in overtime on Sunday for their fourth victory in their past six games. They sit one game behind the Titans in the AFC South standings. The Jets (7-7) lost to the Lions 20-17, their fifth loss in their past seven. They are one game behind Miami and the Chargers for the final playoff spot.

Kickoff in East Rutherford, N.J. is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the game as a pick’em in the latest Jets vs. Jaguars odds, and the over/under for total points scored is 38.5. Before you lock in any Jaguars vs. Jets picks, you need to check out the Thursday Night Football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 16 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 157-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has broken down Thursday night’s Jaguars vs. Jets matchup and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 16 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Jets vs. Jaguars:  

Featured Game | New York Jets vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Why the Jets can cover

New York is 8-6 against the spread this season, including 5-1 in games following a loss. The Jets have had issues at quarterback, and starter Mike White could be out with a rib injury that sidelined him last Sunday. That means Zach Wilson, the No. 2 pick in the 2021 draft, could to start. He threw for 317 yards, with two touchdown passes and one interception against the Lions. Rookie running back Zonovan Knight has 253 rushing yards in four games, and Michael Carter has 390 in 13.      

The strength of the Jets has been a defense that ranks in the top five overall and against the pass. The unit allows 305 yards per game, 194 through the air, and has 12 interceptions and 39 sacks. Cornerback Sauce Gardner is the favorite for Defensive Rookie of the year, and he has two picks and 16 pass breakups. The Jets allow 6.4 yards per pass attempt, third-fewest in the NFL. Quinnen Williams, who missed Sunday’s game but could be ready for TNF, has 11 sacks and Carl Lawson has six. See which team to pick here.

Why the Jaguars can cover

Jacksonville has covered the spread in four of its past six and is 3-0-1 ATS in its past four conference games. The offense has been on fire and is a balanced unit. The Jets have thrived on picking off passes, but Jags quarterback Trevor Lawrence hasn’t been making mistakes. The 2021 No. 1 overall pick threw for 318 yards last Sunday and has almost 1,700 yards and 14 touchdown passes over the past six games. He has the league’s highest passer rating (111.2) over that span and is completing 66% of his throws this season.

Receiver Zay Jones, tight end Evan Engram and running back Travis Etienne have been a major part of the team’s surge. Jones has 415 receiving yards over the past five games, and Engram has 224 yards over the past two. Etienne has 1,155 total yards, averaging 5.0 yards per carry and catching 27 passes. The Jaguars’ offense is sixth in total yards (377 per game), ranking in the top 10 in both rushing and passing. The defense has 22 takeaways, tied for fourth in the NFL and has a league-high 81 pass breakups. See which team to pick here.

How to make Jets vs. Jaguars picks

The model has broken down Thursday night’s Jaguars vs. Jets matchup from all angles. The model is leaning over on the point total, suggesting it will be a duel between the young quarterbacks. The model also says one side of the spread cashes well over 50% of the time. You can only get the model’s TNF picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Jaguars vs. Jets on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread cashes well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Jaguars vs. Jets spread you should be all over Thursday, all from the model on a 157-113 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.

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