Sometimes betting player props can prove profitable if you grab numbers early in the week as opposed to waiting right before kickoff. At this juncture though, we’ll try to find some matchups still worth exploiting. With the NFL player prop market gaining more popularity, especially during the playoffs, let’s dive into three potential Cowboys vs. Bucs props from NFL Wild Card odds for Monday Night Football.
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COWBOYS VS. BUCS PROPS STRATEGY
When betting on player props, I personally like to think of game script and who will be leading towards the end of the game. For example, if you think that the Bucs will be up by 14 points at halftime, it would be a good idea to correlate your prop bets with that line of thinking in mind. The Cowboys would likely abandon the run game and be throwing more. In that situation receiving yards overs for Cowboys players would be props to target. Rushing yards overs for Cowboys players would negatively correlate with how you think the game will play out. On island games I like to target three player props. There’s nothing more frustrating than going 1-1 on player props in prime time.
For a full betting guide beyond Cowboys vs. Bucs props, including offense vs. defense stats and a full injury report, check out our Cowboys vs. Bucs preview.
Dalton Schultz Over 35.5 receiving yards
Best available odds: /
The target share has certainly been there for Schultz this season, accounting for 16% of the targets in this Cowboys offense, second only to WR CeeDee Lamb.
In the 12 games Dak has been healthy this year, Schultz has gone over this receiving yard number in 7 of them. When Dak is in, Schultz always has a good chance to go over his receiving yards number.
Keeping this in mind, I see no reason why he can’t eclipse this mark against Tampa Bay Monday evening. On the season, Todd Bowles’ defense allowed the thirteenth-most receiving yards to the tight end position (860 yards). On a per game basis, this amounts to 50.6 receiving yards per game allowed to tight ends. When the two teams last met on Sunday night football in Week 1, Schultz tallied seven receptions for 62 yards.
Chris Godwin Over 65.5 receiving yards
Best available odds: /
This play is tied with Micah Parsons and the Bucs preventing him from wrecking this game. Julio Jones and Mike Evans have been the deep threats for Brady this year, coming in at average depth of targets of 13 yards and 12 respectively. Godwin will be taking most of his snaps out from the slot position and will be the primary target for Brady and quick routes looking to avoid the pass rush of Parsons. At 2.2 seconds of pocket time, Brady was getting the ball out faster than any other quarterback in the league. Look for this trend to continue against a Cowboys defense that ranked fifth in pressures this year. Brady simply won’t be throwing deep to Evans or Jones much in this game because of this. The beneficiary of this is likely Chris Godwin.
Leonard Fournette Over 36.5 rushing yards
Best available odds: /
Although the Cowboys defense ranks fourth-best in rush defense EPA, they have allowed primary opposing running backs to go over this rushing yards number in nine straight games. That includes their Week 11 matchup against the Vikings where they won 40-3. Although the Vikings were operating in negative game script, Dalvin Cook still tallied 72 rushing yards in the blowout loss.
Fournette has gone over this total in two of the last three games he saw carries to close the season. The only exception being the Carolina game, where Tampa Bay was trailing 21-10 in the fourth quarter and had to abandon the running game.
For what it’s worth, Fournette has gone over this rushing yard number in five straight postseason games.
In order to be profitable long-term betting props, it’s important to get in on these numbers early and monitor line movement as the week goes on. We have created a way to make that simple for use- use our Prop Finder Tool. Search the player name and compare numbers and odds across sportsbooks in your state. This tool is beneficial for bettors because it saves time from toggling between different sportsbooks in search of best numbers.
Consider game script and point spread before placing prop bets. If a team is favored by 14-points for example, the rushing yards over on the favorite’s top running back would be worth considering. Given that the team would likely run the football at the end of the game with a 14-point lead or more.
Best of luck betting on Cowboys vs. Buccaneers props!
The post Cowboys vs Buccaneers Props: 3 To Consider For Monday Night Football appeared first on The Lines.
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