Why the Chiefs can cover the spread
KC hasn’t lost consecutive games since Weeks 2-3 of last season and catch San Francisco coming off a bad loss. The 49ers offensive line is a shambles but may get Trent Williams back, which means they cannot get into a shootout.
The Chiefs are on a 14-1 run vs the NFC and 5-1 ATS in their past 6 vs the 49ers.
Why the 49ers can cover the spread
Injuries aside, the 49ers have been awesome at home, winning and covering six straight and also covered the past five times they laid points at home. And that is not a short-term trend – as home dogs over their past 20 games, they are 15-5 ATS.
KC has been facing man defenses and experiencing pressure on Mahomes. SF can try press coverage or switch to zone looks to try to confuse Mahomes.
Chiefs 49ers Pick
Most bettors liked the Chiefs OVER last week against the Bills, but Buffalo’s stout defense and effective running game kept scoring down. We see the same script in Week 7 and play UNDER.
Anytime TD Props
Odds posted shortly at FanDuel
Patrick Mahomes – We expect a fat number here, but San Fran’s pass rush can flush Mahomes, which is good and bad. We won’t be surprised to see a red-zone scramble for a score while the secondary focuses on triple-teaming Travis Kelce.
Kansas City San Francisco Betting Trends
UNDER is 12-2 San Francisco’s last 14 games.
49ers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games played in Week 7.
Chiefs are 14-1 SU in their last non-conference 15 games
Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against San Francisco
OVER is 6-1 Kansas City’s last 7 road games
Chiefs have lost 5 straight at San Francisco
Chiefs are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games against an opponent in the NFC West
49ers have won and covered 6 straight at home
49ers are 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 games played in Week 7.
49ers have covered 5 in a row as home dog, 8-1 ATS past 9 and 15-5 ATS past 20 in this situation
This content was originally published here.